Urban Decision OS · Saudi/Riyadh · scenario preview
Scenario Eligibility Preview
Five governed scenario categories are shown as review-eligibility previews only. They do not forecast, recommend, approve, or produce a municipal decision.
Important
Scenario preview is not a forecast, not a recommendation, and not a production simulation.
Advisory only. Scenario preview cannot override a readiness band, cannot advance a case, and cannot bind reviewer cohort routing. Every consequential transition stays with a named human reviewer.
- Advisory only
- Human review required
- Evidence-linked
- No automated action
Scenario readiness board
Scenario categories
5
Evidence tokens (curated)
10
Pending human review
10
Blocked outputs
4
Readiness path
- Source registryCleared
- Evidence tokensNeeds review
- Scenario eligibilityPending
- Human reviewPending
- Pack clearanceBlocked
Scenario preview cards
Urban Growth Pressure
Required evidence classes
Imagery (before / after) · municipal surface (Saudi Balady) · national statistics (GASTAT) for population / activity context.
Readiness floor
Band ≥ C
Human review action
Reviewer reads the rationale and accepts or escalates; scenario never advances a case on its own.
Caveat
Illustrative only — not a forecast, not a recommendation, not a physical model, not production simulation.
Infrastructure Load Sensitivity
Required evidence classes
Infrastructure-proximity context (illustrative spatial) · municipal surface · governance note on infrastructure planning posture.
Readiness floor
Band ≥ C
Human review action
Senior reviewer attention if priority is elevated; case reviewer otherwise.
Caveat
Indicative load-sensitivity framing — not an engineering model, not a capacity analysis, not production simulation.
Municipal Review Priority
Required evidence classes
Municipal surface · governance note · current case state (queued / in-review / awaiting-evidence / ...).
Readiness floor
Band ≥ B for elevated · ≥ C for standard
Human review action
Senior reviewer confirms priority elevation before pack advances.
Caveat
Reviewer ordering signal only — does not bind cohort assignment; the institution retains routing authority.
Market / Development Signal
Required evidence classes
REGA market signal (public-source-informed) · municipal surface · imagery before / after for visual context.
Readiness floor
Band ≥ C
Human review action
Reviewer reads context as one input among many; never the sole driver of any pack advancement.
Caveat
Public-source-informed market context only — no per-property identifier, no ownership inferred, no transaction prediction.
Governance Readiness Gap
Required evidence classes
Governance note · metadata-completeness token · pack-level audit trace.
Readiness floor
Always eligible
Human review action
Senior reviewer escalation when gap is red; case reviewer attention when amber.
Caveat
Reflects platform-internal readiness gaps; does not assess the institution's external posture.
Why not cleared · blockers
Scenario eligibility is preview only. Pack clearance is blocked until the items below are resolved by the reviewer.
- Reviewer-of-record pending assignment for the scenario corpus.
- Source registry validation incomplete — capture dates and provenance pending.
- Evidence diversity across required signal classes not yet confirmed by reviewer.
- No band advancement until reviewer note is recorded.
Output gate
No executive brief, registry export, buyer pack, or scenario output is enabled from this surface.
Executive brief PDF
Locked.
Registry CSV export
Locked.
Buyer-pack PDF
Locked.
Scenario recommendation output
Not produced — advisory posture only.
Score contracts, evidence-basis matrix, readiness dependency, reviewer prompts, and companion surfaces remain available for audit review.
Audit details · score contracts, evidence tokens, reviewer promptsExpand audit
Expand to read the evidence-basis matrix, readiness dependency bullets, assumption / expected review effect, reviewer prompts with structural invariants, and companion surfaces.
Source registry records
18
Evidence-basis matrix
| Scenario | Required evidence classes | Confidence floor | Readiness floor |
|---|---|---|---|
| Urban Growth Pressure | Imagery (before / after) · municipal surface (Saudi Balady) · national statistics (GASTAT) for population / activity context. | ≥ low | Band ≥ C |
| Infrastructure Load Sensitivity | Infrastructure-proximity context (illustrative spatial) · municipal surface · governance note on infrastructure planning posture. | ≥ medium | Band ≥ C |
| Municipal Review Priority | Municipal surface · governance note · current case state (queued / in-review / awaiting-evidence / ...). | ≥ low | Band ≥ B for elevated · ≥ C for standard |
| Market / Development Signal | REGA market signal (public-source-informed) · municipal surface · imagery before / after for visual context. | ≥ low | Band ≥ C |
| Governance Readiness Gap | Governance note · metadata-completeness token · pack-level audit trace. | ≥ low | Always eligible |
Readiness dependency
- Scenario preview depends on case evidence readiness.
- Scenario preview cannot override a readiness band.
- Scenario preview cannot advance a case to a decided state.
- Human review is required for any use of the preview in a review pack.
Assumption · expected review effect
Each scenario carries its rule-set assumption explicitly and surfaces a qualitative expected review effect. These are reviewer-facing qualitative cues, never numeric forecasts.
Human review
State
Current state: reviewer-of-record pending assignment for the demonstration corpus.
Human review is structurally required on every scenario preview. The literal-typed boundaries `human_review_required: true` and `automated_decision: false` are enforced at the type system level via the IR-30C2B Rule-Based Scoring Contracts.
Next human actions
- Verify the scenario's evidence basis against the case's Source Registry references.
- Inspect the scenario's limiting factors and missing inputs.
- Confirm the readiness dependency holds for the case under review.
- Record a reviewer note before any scenario preview is cited in an executive brief.
Dynamic interaction overview
Important
Dynamic interaction is a traceable cross-reference view only. It does not create a forecast, recommendation, decision, approval, enforcement action, or production simulation.
Cross-references this scenario surface to the Decision Readiness Surface. Every relation below is a static projection of the registry — never a forecast, never a recommendation.
Scenario → evidence basis cross-reference
urban-growth-pressure · Urban Growth Pressure
- Related evidence tokens
- tok.usgs.core.context · tok.usgs.east.context · tok.usgs.north.context · tok.usgs.south.context · tok.usgs.west.context · tok.saudi.balady.surface · tok.gastat.national.signal
- Blocking evidence tokens
- —
Reviewer: confirm at least three evidence classes (imagery / surface / statistical) are present at confidence ≥ low before this scenario is cited in a review pack.
infrastructure-load-sensitivity · Infrastructure Load Sensitivity
- Related evidence tokens
- tok.saudi.balady.surface · tok.rega.market.signal
- Blocking evidence tokens
- —
Reviewer: confirm an infrastructure-class token at confidence ≥ medium is paired with a municipal-surface token in the same zone before this scenario is cited.
municipal-review-priority · Municipal Review Priority
- Related evidence tokens
- tok.saudi.balady.surface · tok.governance.note
- Blocking evidence tokens
- —
Senior reviewer: confirm a municipal-governance token plus an explicit case-state record exist in the audit trace before priority elevation.
market-development-signal · Market / Development Signal
- Related evidence tokens
- tok.usgs.core.context · tok.usgs.east.context · tok.usgs.north.context · tok.usgs.south.context · tok.usgs.west.context · tok.saudi.balady.surface · tok.rega.market.signal
- Blocking evidence tokens
- —
Reviewer: confirm the REGA market-signal token is corroborated by at least one municipal-surface or imagery token in the same zone before this scenario is cited.
governance-readiness-gap · Governance Readiness Gap
- Related evidence tokens
- tok.governance.note
- Blocking evidence tokens
- tok.pack.metadata.completeness
Senior reviewer: when the gap is red, escalate before any other scenario is cited; when amber, attach a reviewer note to the audit trace.
Evidence token → scenario cross-reference
tok.usgs.core.context · imagery · band C · conf pending · candidate
Related scenarios:urban-growth-pressure · market-development-signal
Reviewer: verify the imagery token's capture-date provenance via the source registry before citing it in a review pack.
tok.usgs.east.context · imagery · band C · conf pending · candidate
Related scenarios:urban-growth-pressure · market-development-signal
Reviewer: verify the imagery token's capture-date provenance via the source registry before citing it in a review pack.
tok.usgs.north.context · imagery · band C · conf pending · candidate
Related scenarios:urban-growth-pressure · market-development-signal
Reviewer: verify the imagery token's capture-date provenance via the source registry before citing it in a review pack.
tok.usgs.south.context · imagery · band C · conf pending · candidate
Related scenarios:urban-growth-pressure · market-development-signal
Reviewer: verify the imagery token's capture-date provenance via the source registry before citing it in a review pack.
tok.usgs.west.context · imagery · band C · conf pending · candidate
Related scenarios:urban-growth-pressure · market-development-signal
Reviewer: verify the imagery token's capture-date provenance via the source registry before citing it in a review pack.
tok.saudi.balady.surface · surface · band C · conf pending · reference_only
Related scenarios:urban-growth-pressure · infrastructure-load-sensitivity · municipal-review-priority · market-development-signal
Reviewer: confirm the municipal-surface token is treated as a public-source-informed reference, not an official zoning classification.
tok.rega.market.signal · overlay · band C · conf pending · reference_only
Related scenarios:infrastructure-load-sensitivity · market-development-signal
Reviewer: confirm the overlay token is treated as aggregate public-source context; no per-property identifier and no ownership inferred.
tok.gastat.national.signal · statistical · band C · conf pending · reference_only
Related scenarios:urban-growth-pressure
Reviewer: confirm the statistical token is treated as aggregate national-statistics context; no per-citizen identifier and no profiling.
tok.pack.metadata.completeness · metadata · band D · conf pending · blocked
Related scenarios:—
Reviewer: when pack-level metadata is blocked, complete per-asset provenance review before any scenario preview cites the pack.
tok.governance.note · governance_note · band C · conf pending · reference_only
Related scenarios:municipal-review-priority · governance-readiness-gap
Reviewer: read the governance note as an internal canonical boundary; never publish it as an institutional finding.
Readiness band → scenario eligibility crosswalk
Band A — ready for executive review
- Eligible scenarios
- urban-growth-pressure · infrastructure-load-sensitivity · municipal-review-priority · market-development-signal · governance-readiness-gap
- Blocked scenarios
- —
Reason:All five scenario categories are eligible to surface at this band; selection still requires reviewer confirmation.
Reviewer action:Reviewer confirms the eligible scenario set before any scenario preview is cited in an executive brief.
Band B — usable with caution, review required
- Eligible scenarios
- urban-growth-pressure · infrastructure-load-sensitivity · municipal-review-priority · market-development-signal · governance-readiness-gap
- Blocked scenarios
- —
Reason:All five scenario categories are eligible with caution; the reviewer reads the rationale and accepts or escalates.
Reviewer action:Reviewer reads the per-scenario rationale and accepts or escalates; no automated transition.
Band C — reference only, needs more evidence
- Eligible scenarios
- urban-growth-pressure · infrastructure-load-sensitivity · municipal-review-priority · market-development-signal · governance-readiness-gap
- Blocked scenarios
- —
Reason:All scenario categories whose readiness floor is band C remain eligible; senior-attention scenarios require band B for elevated priority.
Reviewer action:Reviewer attaches missing-evidence notes before the case advances; scenario preview cannot override the band.
Band D — blocked from the decision layer
- Eligible scenarios
- governance-readiness-gap
- Blocked scenarios
- urban-growth-pressure · infrastructure-load-sensitivity · municipal-review-priority · market-development-signal
Reason:Decision layer is blocked at band D; only the Governance Readiness Gap scenario surfaces, because it flags platform-internal gaps rather than case readiness.
Reviewer action:Senior reviewer escalation: resolve the governance gap or per-asset provenance gap before any scenario other than the Governance Readiness Gap is cited.
Governance blockers
token-blocked-tok.pack.metadata.completeness
Token: tok.pack.metadata.completeness
Why it blocks:Token is at ui_state `blocked` until provenance review completes. Affected scenarios cannot read this token as part of their evidence basis until the reviewer-of-record clears the block.
Affected scenarios:governance-readiness-gap
Reviewer action:Senior reviewer: complete per-asset provenance review for the underlying source and re-classify the token before any cited scenario consumes it.
Human review actions
Scenario: Urban Growth Pressure
Reviewer role:Case reviewer
Prompt:Reviewer: confirm at least three evidence classes (imagery / surface / statistical) are present at confidence ≥ low before this scenario is cited in a review pack.
No automated transition. Scenario preview and decision readiness never advance a case on their own.
Record a reviewer note before any cross-reference is cited in a review pack.
Scenario: Infrastructure Load Sensitivity
Reviewer role:Case reviewer
Prompt:Reviewer: confirm an infrastructure-class token at confidence ≥ medium is paired with a municipal-surface token in the same zone before this scenario is cited.
No automated transition. Scenario preview and decision readiness never advance a case on their own.
Record a reviewer note before any cross-reference is cited in a review pack.
Scenario: Municipal Review Priority
Reviewer role:Senior reviewer
Prompt:Senior reviewer: confirm a municipal-governance token plus an explicit case-state record exist in the audit trace before priority elevation.
No automated transition. Scenario preview and decision readiness never advance a case on their own.
Record a reviewer note before any cross-reference is cited in a review pack.
Scenario: Market / Development Signal
Reviewer role:Case reviewer
Prompt:Reviewer: confirm the REGA market-signal token is corroborated by at least one municipal-surface or imagery token in the same zone before this scenario is cited.
No automated transition. Scenario preview and decision readiness never advance a case on their own.
Record a reviewer note before any cross-reference is cited in a review pack.
Scenario: Governance Readiness Gap
Reviewer role:Senior reviewer
Prompt:Senior reviewer: when the gap is red, escalate before any other scenario is cited; when amber, attach a reviewer note to the audit trace.
No automated transition. Scenario preview and decision readiness never advance a case on their own.
Record a reviewer note before any cross-reference is cited in a review pack.
Token: tok.usgs.core.context
Reviewer role:Case reviewer
Prompt:Reviewer: verify the imagery token's capture-date provenance via the source registry before citing it in a review pack.
No automated transition. Scenario preview and decision readiness never advance a case on their own.
Record a reviewer note before any cross-reference is cited in a review pack.
Token: tok.usgs.east.context
Reviewer role:Case reviewer
Prompt:Reviewer: verify the imagery token's capture-date provenance via the source registry before citing it in a review pack.
No automated transition. Scenario preview and decision readiness never advance a case on their own.
Record a reviewer note before any cross-reference is cited in a review pack.
Token: tok.usgs.north.context
Reviewer role:Case reviewer
Prompt:Reviewer: verify the imagery token's capture-date provenance via the source registry before citing it in a review pack.
No automated transition. Scenario preview and decision readiness never advance a case on their own.
Record a reviewer note before any cross-reference is cited in a review pack.
Token: tok.usgs.south.context
Reviewer role:Case reviewer
Prompt:Reviewer: verify the imagery token's capture-date provenance via the source registry before citing it in a review pack.
No automated transition. Scenario preview and decision readiness never advance a case on their own.
Record a reviewer note before any cross-reference is cited in a review pack.
Token: tok.usgs.west.context
Reviewer role:Case reviewer
Prompt:Reviewer: verify the imagery token's capture-date provenance via the source registry before citing it in a review pack.
No automated transition. Scenario preview and decision readiness never advance a case on their own.
Record a reviewer note before any cross-reference is cited in a review pack.
Token: tok.saudi.balady.surface
Reviewer role:Case reviewer
Prompt:Reviewer: confirm the municipal-surface token is treated as a public-source-informed reference, not an official zoning classification.
No automated transition. Scenario preview and decision readiness never advance a case on their own.
Record a reviewer note before any cross-reference is cited in a review pack.
Token: tok.rega.market.signal
Reviewer role:Case reviewer
Prompt:Reviewer: confirm the overlay token is treated as aggregate public-source context; no per-property identifier and no ownership inferred.
No automated transition. Scenario preview and decision readiness never advance a case on their own.
Record a reviewer note before any cross-reference is cited in a review pack.
Token: tok.gastat.national.signal
Reviewer role:Case reviewer
Prompt:Reviewer: confirm the statistical token is treated as aggregate national-statistics context; no per-citizen identifier and no profiling.
No automated transition. Scenario preview and decision readiness never advance a case on their own.
Record a reviewer note before any cross-reference is cited in a review pack.
Token: tok.pack.metadata.completeness
Reviewer role:Senior reviewer
Prompt:Reviewer: when pack-level metadata is blocked, complete per-asset provenance review before any scenario preview cites the pack.
No automated transition. Scenario preview and decision readiness never advance a case on their own.
Record a reviewer note before any cross-reference is cited in a review pack.
Token: tok.governance.note
Reviewer role:Case reviewer
Prompt:Reviewer: read the governance note as an internal canonical boundary; never publish it as an institutional finding.
No automated transition. Scenario preview and decision readiness never advance a case on their own.
Record a reviewer note before any cross-reference is cited in a review pack.
Structural invariants
Projection computed at: 2026-06-14T13:12:19.335Z · Source blueprint: docs/architecture/urban_decision_intelligence_engine_architecture_blueprint_v1.md#13